[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 August 14 issued 2330 UT on 15 Aug 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 AUGUST 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Aug    49    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 40% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      68
Aug      91
Sep      87


2. FORECAST (16 AUGUST - 18 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Aug    55    Normal           15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
17 Aug    65    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
18 Aug    70    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 39 was issued on 15 August 
and is current for 16-18 Aug. Significant MUF depressions were 
observed across the Australian region. MUF depressions are expected 
to continue for the few days, but should lessen as the level 
of ionising solar radiation increases.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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