[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 13 August 14 issued 2335 UT on 13 Aug 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 AUGUST 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 Aug    69    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      68
Aug      91
Sep      87


2. FORECAST (14 AUGUST - 16 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 Aug    65    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
15 Aug    60    Normal           15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
16 Aug    60    Normal           15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 38 was issued on 12 August 
and is current for 13-15 Aug. Significantly enhanced daytime 
MUFs were observed in Cocus Island. Elsewhere in the north, daytime 
MUFs were slightly depressed and nighttime ones more deeply depressed. 
MUFs in southern Australia were closer to predicted monthly values. 
MUFs could deteriorate further over the next few days.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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