[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 29 October 13 issued 2354 UT on 29 Oct 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/29 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (29 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
29 Oct   117    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X2.3    2154UT  probable   all    East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (30 OCTOBER - 01 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
30 Oct    95    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
31 Oct    70    Normal-fair      Slightly enhanced to mildly 
                                 depressed at times.    
01 Nov    80    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 31 was issued on 29 
October and is current for 29-30 Oct. HF conditions are still 
enhanced due to high levels of ionising EUV flux from multiple 
sunspot regions. Short wave fadeouts possible for 30 October 
with a reasonable chance of isolated M and X flares from solar 
active regions. Some isolated depressions are possible during 
31 October in response to anticipated elevated geomagnetic activity.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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