[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 October 13 issued 2332 UT on 14 Oct 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Oct    88    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (15 OCTOBER - 17 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Oct    70    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
16 Oct    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%    
17 Oct    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: HF conditions are currently enhanced due to high levels 
of ionising EUV flux from multiple sunspot regions. Expected 
geomagnetic activity over the next two days may reduce the maximum 
useable frequency from the currently enhanced levels, however 
at this stage conditions are not expected to drop significantly 
below the forecast monthly values.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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