[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 13 October 13 issued 2330 UT on 13 Oct 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Oct 14 10:30:25 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/13 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (13 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
13 Oct    94    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0043UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (14 OCTOBER - 16 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
14 Oct    90    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
15 Oct    80    Fair             Near predicted monthly values    
16 Oct    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 26 was issued on 12 
October and is current for 12-14 Oct. HF conditions are currently 
enhanced due to high levels of ionising EUV flux from multiple 
sunspot regions. Expected geomagnetic activity over the next 
few days may reduce the maximum useable frequency from the currently 
enhanced levels, however at this stage conditions are not expected 
to drop significantly below the forecast monthly values.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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