[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 23 November 13 issued 2330 UT on 23 Nov 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Nov 24 10:30:29 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/23 NOVEMBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (23 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
23 Nov   130    Strongly Enhanced         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0232UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      88
Nov      71
Dec      69


2. FORECAST (24 NOVEMBER - 26 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions          MUFs                              
24 Nov   115    Enhanced            Enhanced by 0-20% above predicted 
                                    monthly values
25 Nov   125    Strongly Enhanced   Enhanced by 5-30% above predicted 
                                    monthly values    
26 Nov   120    Enhanced            Enhanced by 5-25% above predicted 
                                    monthly values   

COMMENT: The ionospheric propagation support was mostly enhanced 
to strongly enhanced at Australian stations during 23 Nov. However, 
intervals of near monthly predicted values occurred during the 
day time hours at many stations, and the ionospheric conditions 
are showing signs of returning to near normal values this morning. 
The weaker support early this morning implies a softening of 
propagation conditions for the remainder of 24 Nov. The day-to-day 
variability is large and the outlook for 25-26 Nov is still for 
enhanced to strongly enhanced conditions.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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