[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 November 13 issued 2330 UT on 15 Nov 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Nov 16 10:30:24 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 NOVEMBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Nov   124    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    0230UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      88
Nov      71
Dec      69


2. FORECAST (16 NOVEMBER - 18 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Nov    90    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
17 Nov   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
18 Nov   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 44 was issued on 15 
November and is current for 16-18 Nov. Significant MUF enhancements 
were observed over AUS/NZ during the last 24 hours and after 
local dawn at Niue Island. Enhanced conditions are expected to 
continue for the next 3 days, with some high-latitude degradations 
due to expected geomagnetic activity.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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