[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 18 May 13 issued 2330 UT on 18 May 2013
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun May 19 09:30:22 EST 2013
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/18 MAY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (18 MAY)
Date T index Conditions
18 May 97 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Predicted Monthly T index for May: 69
2. FORECAST (19 MAY - 21 MAY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
19 May 85 Fair Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
20 May 60 Normal-fair Near predicted monthly values
21 May 65 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 11 was issued
on 18 May and is current for 20-21 May. IPS SWF HF Communications
Warning 12 was issued on 18 May and is current for 18-19 May.
Mostly normal ionospheric support observed over the AUS/NZ region
for the last 24 hours. MUFs expected to be mostly near predicted
monthly values during the day 19-May, with a chance of depressed
periods for Southern AUS/NZ regions overnight 19-May. HF conditions
degraded overnight 19-May and more widespread MUF depressions
expected from 20-May due to increased geomagnetic activity. Short
wave fadeouts possible with a chance of isolated M class flares.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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