[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 May 13 issued 2345 UT on 10 May 2013

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat May 11 09:45:17 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 MAY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 May    73    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.9    0058UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.3    1258UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for May:  69


2. FORECAST (11 MAY - 13 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 May    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
12 May    75    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
13 May    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Mostly normal ionospheric support observed over the 
AUS/NZ region for the last 24 hours with notable enhancements 
for IPS Cocos Is. and Niue in the first half of the UT day. MUFs 
near monthly predicted values for Northern AUS and Southern AUS/NZ 
regions. MUF's expected to be near predicted monthly values over 
the next 3 days with chance of depressed periods for Southern 
AUS/NZ and Northern AUS regions during local night and enhanced 
periods for Cocos and Niue stations during local day. Short wave 
fadeouts possible with reasonable chance of M flares from active 
regions.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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