[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 29 September 12 issued 2351 UT on 29 Sep 2012

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Sep 30 09:51:40 EST 2012


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/29 SEPTEMBER 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (29 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
29 Sep   123    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for September:  79


2. FORECAST (30 SEPTEMBER - 02 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
30 Sep   100    Normal-poor      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%
01 Oct    90    Poor             Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%    
02 Oct   110    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 31 was issued on 29 September 
and is current for 30 Sep to 1 Oct. Mostly normal HF conditions 
with periods of MUF enhancements were observed today. Nearly 
similar conditions may be expected during the first half of 30 
September. Minor to significant degradations in HF conditions 
may be expected through the second half of 30 September and on 
01 October due to an expected rise in geomagnetic activity levels 
during this period. HF conditions are expected to return to normal 
levels on 02 October.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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