[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 19 October 12 issued 2334 UT on 19 Oct 2012

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/19 OCTOBER 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (19 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
19 Oct   102    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Darwin enhanced to 50% 11-15UT.
      Townsville enhanced to 30% 13-15UT.
      Learmonth enhanced to 30% 05-07UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  81


2. FORECAST (20 OCTOBER - 22 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
20 Oct   100    Normal           0 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values
21 Oct   100    Normal           0 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
22 Oct   100    Normal           0 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Equatorial/N Aus region MUF's enhanced due to high EUV 
flux associated with a number of active regions on the visible 
solar disk. Although solar flare activity has been low, there 
remains the possibility of isolated M-class flares with associated 
HF fadeouts. Anticipated mild geomagnetic activity days two and 
three may produce low-latitude MUF variability and high latitude 
disturbances.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.