[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 March 12 issued 2351 UT on 14 Mar 2012
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Mar 15 10:51:49 EST 2012
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z MARCH 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (14 MARCH)
Date T index Conditions
14 Mar 76 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M2.8 1522UT possible lower South American/
Atlantic
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 20% over the UT day.
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 13 03 2012 1900UT and is in progress
Predicted Monthly T index for March: 81
2. FORECAST (15 MARCH - 17 MARCH)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
15 Mar 70 Normal Near predicted monthly values
16 Mar 60 Normal-fair Near predicted monthly values/depressed
10 to 20%
17 Mar 60 Normal-fair Near predicted monthly values/depressed
10 to 20%
COMMENT: Weak ionosphere observed in Antarctic region. Otherwise
propagation conditions mostly near predicted monthly values.
Expect mostly similar conditions next 24 hours. Degraded ionospheric
conditions possible days 2 and 3 affecting higher latitudes due
to anticipated geomagnetic disturbances. The >10MeV proton event
which began Mar 13 remains in progress but is in decline.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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