[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 December 12 issued 2338 UT on 20 Dec 2012

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Dec 21 10:38:02 EST 2012


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 DECEMBER 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Dec    90    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for December:  81


2. FORECAST (21 DECEMBER - 23 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Dec    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
22 Dec    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
23 Dec    85    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: HF frequencies were near monthly medians over the last 
24 hours at mid latitudes. At northern near-equatorial latitudes 
there was more variability than usual, with a large daytime enhancements 
NW and NE of Australia due to activity in the equatorial anomaly. 
T-index rose in response to newly rotated AR16365 adding EUV. 
Expect MUFs on 20-Dec to average near predicted monthly values. 
Some MUF variability possible at mid-latitudes as the solar wind 
speed has picked up earlier than expected from a coronal hole 
and a slight rise in geomagnetic activity to Quiet-Unsettled 
levels.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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