[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 07 August 12 issued 2340 UT on 07 Aug 2012
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Aug 8 09:40:36 EST 2012
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 AUGUST 2012 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (07 AUGUST)
Date T index Conditions
07 Aug 89 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 40% during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Predicted Monthly T index for August: 77
2. FORECAST (08 AUGUST - 10 AUGUST)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
08 Aug 70 Normal 0 to 10% below predicted monthly
values
09 Aug 80 Normal Near predicted monthly values
10 Aug 85 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: HF conditions were Normal 07-Aug, with MUFs mostly near
monthly values at mid-latitudes and more variable at low-latitudes
with night depressions in northern Australia. The most southern
Australian latitudes experienced strong nightime spread-F conditions,
measured at Hobart, causing HF multipath fading. The ionosphere
is stronger than average and T index is higher than the predicted
monthly value due to a large number of smaller sunspots emitting
ionising EUV. Early UT day 8 Aug a CME should strike a glancing
blow causing Unsettled-Active geomagnetic conditions, slightly
depressing MUFs, with recovery on the 9th.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
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