[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 November 11 issued 2330 UT on 02 Nov 2011

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z NOVEMBER 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Nov   101    Fair-normal    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M4.3    2201UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 20%
      01-03 and 19-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-40% above predicted monthly values.
      Spread F 16-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to 
      20% 10-14, 19-21 UT at Darwin and enhancements to
      40% 08-22 UT at Townsville. 
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.
      Occasional depressions to 20% mostly 04-13 UT at Perth
      and Learmonth. Night spread F at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with occasional
      depressions to 30%.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  66
2. FORECAST (03 NOVEMBER - 05 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Nov   100    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 25% enhanced. 
04 Nov   115    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 30% enhanced.     
05 Nov   115    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 30% enhanced.    

COMMENT: Occasional depressions possible on 3 November. Chance of
sudden ionospheric disturbances (SWFs) on daylight sectors of HF
circuits over forecast period. IPS HF Communications Warning 48
was issued on 31 October and is current for interval 1-3 November
(SWFs).

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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