[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 February 11

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 4 10:37:37 EST 2011


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z FEBRUARY 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Feb     9    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day,
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for February:  38
2. FORECAST (04 FEBRUARY - 06 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Feb    10    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30% 
05 Feb    10    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%     
06 Feb    15    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 11 was issued on 1 February 
and is current for interval 1-4 February. Mostly normal HF conditions 
in the Northern Australian region with mild depressions observed 
in the South Australian and Antarctic regions, particularly the 
local day time hours. Ocassional sporadic E was also present 
in the Australian region, this trend is likely to continue. Expect 
a return to near normal HF conditions with mild depressions at 
mid to low latitudes due to lower then predicted solar activity 
for the next three days. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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