[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 August 11

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z AUGUST 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Aug    45    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.4    0622UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for August:  59
2. FORECAST (03 AUGUST - 05 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Aug    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
04 Aug    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
05 Aug    40    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 with occasional depressions 
                                 to 30%   
COMMENT: Brief SWF's up to 3MHz observed Cocos Is., Learmonth 
and Darwin 06-07UT in association with an M1 solar flare. Expect 
mostly normal ionospheric conditions days one and two. Disturbances 
possible mainly S Aus/NZ/Antarctic regions day three due to anticipated 
geomagnetic activity resultant from the M-class solar flare observed 
Aug 02.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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