[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 18 October 10

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 18/2330Z OCTOBER 2010 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (18 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
18 Oct    12    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  30
2. FORECAST (19 OCTOBER - 21 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
19 Oct    15    Normal-fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values 
20 Oct     5    Normal-fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
21 Oct     5    Normal-fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
COMMENT: Depressed MUFs of 20% during local day observed for 
all regions over the last 24 hours, with otherwise normal ionospheric 
support. Increased geomagnetic activity is expected over the 
next 3 days with possible depressed MUF's of ~20% for Northewrn 
AUS and Southern AUS/NZ regions and disturbed conditions for 
Antarctic regions stations. Chance of fadeouts for the next three 
days due to expected increase in flare activity associated with 
active solar region 1112. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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