[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 October 10

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z OCTOBER 2010 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Oct    31    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.9    1912UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  30
2. FORECAST (17 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Oct    30    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
18 Oct    30    Normal           Near predicted monthly values     
19 Oct    30    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    

COMMENT: There is a slight possibility of a weak short wave fade 
at high latitudes due to an increase in proton flux that may 
occur today, 17 October, inferred by Tenflare burst occurring 
at 16/1916 UT. There is also a possibility of fadeouts for the 
next three days due to expected increase in flare activity associated 
with AR 1112. Otherwise, expect near predicted MUF values for 
the next three days. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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