[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 June 07

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Jun 4 09:54:26 EST 2007


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z JUNE 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 JUNE) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Jun    16    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.8    0159UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M7.8    0212UT  probable   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M5.1    0641UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   9
2. FORECAST (04 JUNE - 06 JUNE)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Jun    15    Normal           near predicted monthly values 
05 Jun    10    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%     
06 Jun    10    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 14 was issued on 3 June 
and is current for interval 4-6 June (SWFs) . Daytime and nightime 
depressed conditons observed for Northern AUS/Equatorial regions. 
Normal conditions observed for Southern Australia/NZ regions 
with nightime enhancements. Disturbed conditions observed for 
Antarctic regions. Similar conditions are expected for the next 
24 hours. Possible SWF's due to the increase in solar activity. 
Chance of a PCA event due to possible proton event. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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