[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 19 July 07

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jul 20 09:22:28 EST 2007


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/2330Z JULY 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (19 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
19 Jul     4    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  10
2. FORECAST (20 JULY - 22 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
20 Jul     8    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values 
21 Jul     8    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%     
22 Jul     4    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    

COMMENT: With the exception of the S.Aus/NZ region which showed 
enhanced MUFs overnight, the ionosphere in the Aus region was 
mostly normal to 20% depressed on 19 Jul. Expect mostly normal 
MUFs 20 July, although degraded HF conditions possible due to 
enhanced geomagnetic activity, particularly in the S.Aus/NZ region. 
Some further depressions, up to 20%, are likely 21-22 July. Night 
time spread-F was observed in the S.Aus/NZ region, also expected 
to continue 20 Jul. Sporadic-E was observed at some stations 
in the Aus region during the local day, particularly Darwin and 
Hobart. 

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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