[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 September 05

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z SEPTEMBER 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Sep    18    Fair           

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.1 13/2303UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  X1.8 13/2322UT  probable   all    West Pacific
  M4.6    1039UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     No data available during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
     Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 14 09 2005 0100UT and is in progress

Predicted Monthly T index for September:  24
2. FORECAST (15 SEPTEMBER - 17 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Sep    15    Poor             30 to 40% below predicted monthly 
                                 values 
16 Sep    -5    Fair             near predicted monthly values     
17 Sep    15    Normal           near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 34 was issued on 12 September 
and is current for interval 13-15 September (SWFs) . HF conditions 
may show mild to significant degradations in Aus/NZ regions, 
especially in the southern regions on 15 September. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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