[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 August 05

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z AUGUST 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Aug    50    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M4.2    1831UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day, with localised
      intervals of disturbance. 

PCA Event : Began at 2325UT 27/07, Ended at 1105UT 01/08
 

Predicted Monthly T index for August:  26
2. FORECAST (03 AUGUST - 05 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Aug    55    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
04 Aug    40    Normal           Near predicted monthly values     
05 Aug    55    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Mostly normal to mildly enhanced HF conditions observed 
Equatorial/Aus regions. Periods of evening spread-F observed 
S Aus/NZ/Antarctic regions. Minor daytime absorption persisting 
at polar cap latitudes. Expect periods of degradation S Aus/NZ/Antarctic 
regions on day two due to geomagnetic activity associated with 
an anticipated minor solar wind shock. Isolated radio fadeouts 
possible during local day over the next week due to active sunspot 
regions. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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