[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 November 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z NOVEMBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Nov    81    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.8    0133UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.6    0336UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M5.0    1547UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.0    1833UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  35
2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Nov    70    Normal           near predicted monthly values 
05 Nov    65    Normal-Fair      about 10% below predicted monthly 
                                 values     
06 Nov    60    Normal-Fair      about 10% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Good HF conditions expected for the next 24hrs but with 
the chnace of degraded conditions in the next 2-3 days for southern 
Aus/NZ region if recent solar mass ejections induce geomagnetic 
activity. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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