[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 18 January 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 18/2330Z JANUARY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (18 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
18 Jan    45    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/1N    0017UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  56
2. FORECAST (19 JANUARY - 21 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
19 Jan    40    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10% 
20 Jan    35    Normal-Fair      depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
21 Jan    55    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Mild coronal hole wind stream effects are likely to 
persist for another 2-3 days. Expect isolated periods of disturbance 
at mid to high latitudes and possible minor depressions after 
local dawn at low latitudes. Possible isolated periods of depressions 
on Jan 20 due to an anticipated glancing blow from the CME reported 
on Jan 17. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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