[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 27 February 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/2330Z FEBRUARY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (27 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
27 Feb    66    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.7 26/2230UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for February:  53
2. FORECAST (28 FEBRUARY - 01 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
28 Feb    65    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
29 Feb    55    Normal           Near predicted monthly values     
01 Mar    55    Normal-Fair      Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 16 was issued on 26 February 
and is current for interval 27-29 February (SWFs) . HF conditions 
mostly near normal. Solar active region 564 maintains good potential 
for further major flare activity, with the possibility of short-wave 
fadeout conditions during local daylight hours. HF communicators 
are advised to monitor the IPS website for notification of further 
flare activity over the next few days. There is a possibility 
of slightly degraded HF conditions after day two due to a recurrent 
coronal hole wind stream. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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