[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 October 03

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 17 08:43:02 EST 2003


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z OCTOBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Oct    56    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed 15% early in local day.
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed 15% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
      Spread F observed.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  55
2. FORECAST (17 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Oct    45    Fair-Normal      depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values 
18 Oct    45    Fair-Normal      depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
19 Oct    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Depressed conditions yesterday were not as widespread 
as forecast with depressions observed at Hobart (Tas), and Mundaring 
(WA) and Learmonth (WA), but not in Sydney or Christchurch. Continued 
variable conditions expected today, and southern region MUFs 
are again expected to be 15% depressed early in UT day. Northern 
region MUFs are expected to remain near predicted monthly values. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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