[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 11 October 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 11/2330Z OCTOBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (11 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
11 Oct    75    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  55
2. FORECAST (12 OCTOBER - 14 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
12 Oct    75    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
13 Oct    65    Normal           near predicted monthly values     
14 Oct    60    Normal-Fair      Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Higher than normal MUFs expected today. Mild degradation 
possible after 13-14 Oct southern Aus/NZ region, mainly local 
night hours. Forecast of mild degradation slipped out by one 
day due to lack of coronal hole wind stream signature in solar 
wind data. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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