[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 October 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 04/2330Z OCTOBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Oct    91    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/SF    1547UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20% over the UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30-35% over the UT day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  54
2. FORECAST (05 OCTOBER - 07 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Oct    90    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
06 Oct    90    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
07 Oct    80    Normal-Fair      5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Mild overnight spread-F conditions observed NZ region. 
Occasional intense spread-F conditions observed overnight Antarctic 
region. Expect normal to enhanced ionospheric propagation conditions 
today. Possibile periods of degradation on days two and three 
in association with increased geomagnetic activity, especially 
at high latitudes. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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