[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 March 03

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Mar 21 10:45:38 EST 2003


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 20/2330Z MARCH 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Mar    78    Normal-poor    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/1F    1131UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Extended periods of disturbance over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:  82
2. FORECAST (21 MARCH - 23 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Mar    65    Poor-normal      10 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values 
22 Mar    90    Normal           Near predicted monthly values     
23 Mar   100    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: As coronal hole wind stream effects persist into today, 
generally lower than normal MUFs are anticipated. Southern Aus/Antarctic 
regions can expect extended periods of disturbance in association 
with geomagnetic activity. Coronal hole wind stream effects are 
expected to decline after today. Short wave fadeouts are possible 
due to enhanced proton flux. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 



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