[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 June 03

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Jun 17 10:01:16 EST 2003


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z JUNE 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 JUNE) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Jun    80    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X1.3 15/2357UT  probable   all    West Pacific
  M1.0    0248UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.7    1201UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly Near predicted monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:  68
2. FORECAST (17 JUNE - 19 JUNE)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Jun    80    Normal-fair      5 to 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
18 Jun    75    Normal-fair      Enhanced 5-10% to depressed 
                                 5-15% at times.     
19 Jun    75    Normal-fair      Enhanced 5-10% to depressed 
                                 5-15% at times.    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 45 was issued on 16 June 
and is current for interval 16-18 June (SWFs) . Slight depressions 
are expected at times for the next few days as the result of 
mildly elevated geomagnetic activity. SWFs are expected over 
the next few days. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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