[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 February 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z FEBRUARY 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Feb    79    Normal-poor    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0905UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed
      15-30% at times.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for February:  84
2. FORECAST (02 FEBRUARY - 04 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Feb    70    Normal-Fair      Depressed 15-30% at times. 
03 Feb   100    Normal           depressed 5 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
04 Feb   110    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 5 was issued on 1 February 
and is current for interval 1-2 February. HF conditions have 
been degraded following an increase in geomagnetic activity resulting 
from the impact of a CME at approximately 15UT on 1 Feb. Degraded 
HF conditions are again possible for 2 Feb. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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