[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 22 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 22/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (22 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
22 Oct   133    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/SF    1535UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20-50%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (23 OCTOBER - 25 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
23 Oct   135    Normal-Fair      10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
24 Oct   120    Normal           depressed 15%/enhanced 15%     
25 Oct   135    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Enhanced MUFs expected for most of today. Chance for 
mild depression late 23/24 Oct southern region only. Also, coronal 
hole induced disturbance possible 26-29 Oct (southern region 
only). 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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