[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 Oct   109    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
M2.4/1N    0451UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced greater than 15%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed 15-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 15-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (07 OCTOBER - 09 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 Oct   120    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
08 Oct   110    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values     
                                 to depressed  5-15%.
09 Oct   100    Normal-Fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to enhanced for northern Australian 
                                 regions and depressed 10-20% 
                                 at times for Southern regions.    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 5 October 
and is current for interval 5-7 October (SWFs) . Mildly degraded 
HF conditions were observed at times for southern regions for 
6 October. Mostly normal conditions are expected for 7 October 
with mild depressions again possible at times for southern regions 
for 8-9 October. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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