[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 04/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Oct   101    Normal-poor    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.1    0043UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M4.3    0538UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M3.7    1105UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.3    1255UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.2    1711UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M2.8    2243UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed 10-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 10-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (05 OCTOBER - 07 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Oct   110    Normal-Fair      Northern Australian region near 
                                 predicted monthly values. Southern 
                                 Australian/Antarctic regions 
                                 depressed 10-30% at times. 
06 Oct   110    Normal           Near predicted monthly values     
07 Oct   120    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 5 October 
and is current for interval 5-7 October (SWFs) . Degraded HF 
conditions were observed at times for mid-high latitudes for 
4 October as the result of elevated geomagnetic activity. Mildly 
degraded HF conditions may be again observed at times for mid-high 
latitudes for 5 October. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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