[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Oct   115    Fair           

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20% during UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during UT day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed 15-20% after local dawn
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 10-20% during UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  88
2. FORECAST (02 OCTOBER - 04 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Oct    90    Normal           Northern region MUFs near predicted 
				 monthly values 
02 Oct    50    Fair             Southern region MUFs depressed 10 to 25%
03 Oct   120    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
04 Oct   120    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 48 was issued on 1 October 
and is current for interval 2 October only. Unexpected geomagnetic 
activity observed overnight in association with southward Bz 
caused degradation in HF conditions. Persisting southward Bz 
likely to cause degraded conditions during first half of the 
UT day today. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060