[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 November 02
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Nov 15 10:13:30 EST 2002
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z NOVEMBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (14 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
14 Nov 162 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1.0 0017UT possible lower West Pacific
MUFs:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 15-45%.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 20-35%.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Predicted Monthly T index for November: 91
2. FORECAST (15 NOVEMBER - 17 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
15 Nov 140 Normal 10 to 20% above predicted monthly
values
16 Nov 115 Normal-Fair near predicted monthly values/depressed
10 to 15%
17 Nov 100 Fair-Normal depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 67 was issued on 14 November
and is current for interval 14-15 November (SWFs) . Generally
good HF conditions expected today. Coronal hole induced geomagnetic
activity is expected to cause a degradation in HF conditions
on 16 Nov, for mid to high latitudes. In additions, a weak shock
may arrive from the M1/CME late 15 Nov early 16 Nov.
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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