[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 November 02
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Nov 11 11:24:58 EST 2002
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 10/2330Z NOVEMBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (10 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
10 Nov 168 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M2/2N 0321UT possible lower E. Asia/Aust.
MUFs:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 09 11 2002 1950UT and is in progress
Predicted Monthly T index for November: 91
2. FORECAST (11 NOVEMBER - 13 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
11 Nov 140 Normal-poor Initially enhanced with possible
depressions of 15-30% at times
later in the UT day.
12 Nov 70 Poor-fair depressed 15 to 30%/near predicted
monthly values
13 Nov 90 Normal-fair depressed 10 to 20%/near predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: Increased absorption observed at Antarctic stations
due to PCA event in progress. PCA event is expected to finish
early on 11 November. HF conditions for low-mid latitudes are
expected to be initially enhanced for 11 November with possible
depressions of 15-30% later in the UT day of 11 November following
the impact of a CME. Depressions are expected to continue at
times for 12-13 November as geomagnetic activity continues.
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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