[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 May 02

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon May 13 09:57:29 EST 2002


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/2330Z MAY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 May   124    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15% to depressed 15% at times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed
      15-30% at times.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced 15% to depressed 15% at times.


Predicted Monthly T index for May: 113
2. FORECAST (13 MAY - 15 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 May   150    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
14 May   120    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%     
15 May   135    Normal           depressed 5 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
COMMENT: Slightly degraded HF conditions are possible for 14-15 
May following the anticipated arrival of a CME associated with 
the M1-flare observed at 1134UT on 11 May. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 




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