[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 07 May 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z MAY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (07 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
07 May   151    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.4    0346UT  Confirmed  lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 40% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for May: 113
2. FORECAST (08 MAY - 10 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
08 May   145    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
09 May   145    Fair             10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
10 May   110    Normal-Fair      depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
COMMENT: Degraded conditions expected local night hours 9-10 May southern 
region Aus/NZ due to expected arrival of CME from M1 event. There 
is a chance for mild depressions to be experienced after local 
dawn on 10 May southern region only. A minor shortwave fadeout
was observed 0345-0415UT in the Aus/NZ region in association 
with the M1 flare.

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