[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 March 02

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Mar 16 10:47:57 EST 2002


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z MARCH 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Mar   171    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.3    2323UT  confirmed  lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Enhanced by 40% during local night.
     Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for March: 111
2. FORECAST (16 MARCH - 18 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Mar   170    Normal           15-20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
17 Mar   170    Normal           15-20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
18 Mar   170    Normal-Fair      15-20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 10 was issued on 15 March 
and is current for interval 16-18 March (SWFs) . The M2.1 event
may be associated with a mass ejection.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 




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