[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 January 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 04/2330Z JANUARY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Jan   168    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/SF    1749UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15-30%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


Predicted Monthly T index for January: 109
2. FORECAST (05 JANUARY - 07 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Jan   170    Normal           10 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
06 Jan   170    Fair-normal      10 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
07 Jan   170    Normal           10 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 1 was issued on 4 January 
and is current for interval 5-7 January (SWFs) . Enhanced MUFs 
again expected today. Mild degradation expected local night hours 
southern Aus/Nz region 06 Jan. Increasing chance of fadeouts today.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060