[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 February 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z FEBRUARY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Feb   188    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 70% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for February: 114
2. FORECAST (17 FEBRUARY - 19 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Feb   175    Normal-Fair      10 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
18 Feb   170    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
19 Feb   170    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 5 was issued on 14 February 
and is current for interval 15-17 February. MUFs enhanced after 
local dawn this morning. Mild depressions not observed over night. 
Enhanced conditions now generally expected. This forecast will 
be revised back to a mild depression forecast if any shock induced 
geomagnetic activity comences over the next 24 hours. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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