[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 December 02

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Dec 15 09:26:50 EST 2002


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z DECEMBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Dec   129    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for December:  90
2. FORECAST (15 DECEMBER - 17 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Dec   120    Fair-Normal      10-15 depressed southern region/10-20% 
                                 enhanced northern region. 
16 Dec   150    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
17 Dec   150    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Mild degradation possible southern region 15 Dec after 
local dawn. Chance of isolated shortwave fadeout activity. Stronger 
degradation expected around 18 Dec due to anticapated coronal 
hole induced geomagnetic activity. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 



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