[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 17 November 01

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 17/2330Z NOVEMBER 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (17 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
17 Nov   166    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M2/1N    0525UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-30%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for November: 109
2. FORECAST (18 NOVEMBER - 20 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
18 Nov   150    Normal           5 to 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
19 Nov   170    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
20 Nov   145    Normal-fair      about 5% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: MUFs in the region have been elevated in comparison 
to the forecast monthly T index. MUFs this morning are expected 
to be closer to the monthly values in southern region Aus. MUfs 
are then expected to return to enhanced levels on day 2 before 
reducing to near monthly values on day 3, due to expected wek 
magnetic activity on day 2. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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