[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 21 06 15 issued 0650 UT on 22 Jun 2015

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 22/0630Z JUN 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 21 06 15
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.9    0145UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M2.6    0240UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M3.8    0944UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.0    1822UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 1539UT on 21
Jun.
A weak (19nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
1646UT on 21 Jun.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 06 2015 2020UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    97

Observed European Region MUFS:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,

2. FORECAST FOR 22 06 2015

Forecast T index:   80
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Enhanced by 20%.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 20 to 25% later in UT day
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected later in UT day due
to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    87
IPS monthly forcast T index for JUN 2015:  86

A weak (11nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
0545UT on 22 Jun.

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