[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 14 12 06

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Dec 15 17:50:07 EST 2006


SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/0630Z DEC 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 14 12 06
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X1.5    2215UT  probable   all    West Pacific
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 1351UT on 14 Dec.
A weak (46nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
1414UT on 14 Dec.
PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 13 12 2006 0305UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    18

Observed European Region MUFS:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,

2. FORECAST FOR 15 12 2006

Forecast T index:   -5
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 20%.
Rest of day: Depressed 20-30%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.


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