[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 18 08 02

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/0630Z AUG 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 18 08 02
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.5    1005UT  possible   lower  European
  M2.1    1439UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M2.4    2126UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 1809UT on 18 Aug.
A weak (19nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetomter data at
1846UT on 18 Aug.
PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   112

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 19 08 2002

Forecast T index:   85
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 15 to 20% later in UT day
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.


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