[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 29 12 01

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Dec 30 17:50:09 EST 2001


SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/0630Z DEC 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 29 12 01
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M9.3    0945UT  probable   lower  Mid East/Indian
 M1/1F    0545UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
A moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 0446UT on 29 Dec.
A moderate (78nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetomter data at
0539UT on 29 Dec.
PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 30 12 2001 0335UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:   155

Observed European Region MUFS:
Enhanced by 20% during local day, Enhanced by 25% during local night.

2. FORECAST FOR 30 12 2001

Forecast T index:  165
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Enhanced by 30%.
Rest of day: Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.


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